Young Adults Living with Parents Up Sharply

February 4, 2014

New NAHB Economics research shows that the share of young adults ages 18 to 34 living with parents or parents-in-law increased sharply in the late 2000s. According to the most recent American Community Survey (ACS), one in three young adults ages 18 to 34, or more than 24 million, lived in homes of their parents or parents-in-law in 2012. By comparison, the 1990 and 2000 Censuses reported that only one in four young adults ages 18 to 34 lived with parents at that time.

The NAHB analysis shows that the biggest shift in the preferences of young adults to live with parents happened after 2005. This is particularly true for older young adults, ages 25 to 34, whose share living with parents was fluctuating around 12 percent from 1990 through 2005 and then quickly rose to exceed 19 percent in 2012 (see figure below). The younger cohort, ages 18 to 24, was more likely to live with parents in 1990, when more than half of these adults lived with parents, than in the early 2000s. However, by 2006 this share exceeded 50 percent again and grew to more than 57 percent in 2012.

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Rising college enrollment among younger adults ages 18 to 24 helps explain their increased preferences for not leaving parental homes. The majority of adults in this age group, 52 percent, attended school or college in 2012, compared to 45 percent in 2000 and 43 percent in 1990. College attendance plays a less important role in the decision of older adults, ages 25 to 34, to stay at parents’ home. Less than 14 percent of adults in this older cohort were still in college or school in 2012, the comparable share in 1990 and 2000 was just slightly below, close to 12 percent.

For older, more experienced and better educated adults ages 25 to 34, the ability to find stable, higher-paying jobs plays an increasing role. As unemployment rates kept increasing in the late 2000s so did the shares of young adults living with parents. In 2000, the shares of unemployed in this age group were 7 percent among young adults living with parents and 4 percent among those living independently. By 2012, these shares reached 14 percent among adults living with parents and 6 percent among same age adults living independently.

The NAHB report also analyzes state unemployment rates and finds that, on average, states with larger increases in unemployment rates among young adults registered larger gains in percent of young adults living with parents. Even though unemployment rates started to decline in most states in 2011, shares of young adults living with parents remain stubbornly high and even increased in some states, suggesting that it takes longer for young adults to overcome the overall sense of economic instability, gain confidence and financial independence before leaving parents’ homes. This is particularly true for states hardest hit by the housing boom and bust, such as California and Florida, where percent of young adults living with parents continued to rise through 2012 despite improving job markets.

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As of 2012, three Northeast states – New Jersey, Connecticut, and New York – register the nation’s highest shares of young adults ages 18 to 34 living with parents or parents-in-law – 45, 42 and 41 percent, respectively (see the map above). California and Florida – two of the states hardest hit by the housing boom and bust – follow with their shares just slightly under 40 percent. At the opposite end of the spectrum are the District of Columbia known for its relatively stable job market and North Dakota known for its oil booming economy – both registering shares under 20 percent.

Young adults ages 25 to 34 traditionally represent about half of all first-time home buyers. Their delayed willingness and ability to leave parental homes and strike out on their own undoubtedly contributed to suppressing housing demand further during the Great Recession. Declining shares of young adults living with parents in some states – Rhode Island, Montana, Wyoming, Maine, Delaware and New Mexico among others – could be one of the early signs that pent-up housing demand may finally start turning into realized housing demand.


Immigrants Can Have Substantial Impact on Housing Demand

August 3, 2012

A new research paper from NAHB Economics investigates how immigrants affect US housing demand.  The study analyzes recent data from the American Community Survey (ACS) that has detailed information on the country of origin, age, family status and housing choices of newly arrived immigrants. The data show that new immigrants are a young and diverse group of people. More than two thirds of them are under age 35. Close to 42 percent of newly arrived immigrants come from Asia and another 40 percent come from Americas. European immigrants account for additional 10 percent of newly arrived immigrants, and the remaining 8 percent are accounted for by other regions.

The study finds that compared to the native born population, immigrants are more likely to live with parents, other relatives or friends rather than establish their own households. These tendencies are reflected in immigrant headship rates that are lower across all age groups. However, the longer immigrants stay in the United States the more likely they are to establish their own households. In case of European-born and other immigrants, their headship rates eventually exceed those of the native born population.

Similarly, the study finds that compared to the native population, immigrants are more likely to rent than own and move into multifamily units.  However, as duration of their stay in the US increases, income rises and socio-economic status improves they are more likely to buy homes and move into single family houses. Europe- and Asia-born households register the highest homeownership rates among all immigrants, reflecting their elevated socio-economic status in the US.

To predict future housing needs of immigrants, the study further builds a model that takes into account age of newly arriving immigrants, region of their origin and length of stay in the United States. For purposes of illustration, the model is applied to the Census Bureau’s low-end 2010 projection of 1.2 million net immigrants. If net immigration of 1.2 million persists for 10 years, new immigrants are projected to account for close to 3.4 million US households (see Figure below). They are estimated to occupy more than 2 million multifamily units and more than 1.2 million single family homes. More than 900 thousand of these new immigrant households are projected to become home owners.